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Monday briefing: Applications per job opening have doubled since 2022, and employers still say they cannot find the skills they need

Issue 2026-10-05 Daily 7 insights · 3 actions · 3 min read

Insights a founder or HR leader can act on today, each with a note on why it matters, and three actions worth the time this week.

S1

HR & operations

Top 3

What changed in HR systems, compliance and workforce data for a team under 500 people, and what it costs or saves.

Operations

Applications per job opening doubled, and employers still cannot find the skills↗

Hiring software firm Greenhouse looked at 640 million applications across more than 6,000 companies. Applications per job opening went from 116 in 2022 to 244 in 2025, while 74% of employers worldwide still report trouble finding the skills they need.

244
applications per job opening, up from 116
Why this mattersMore applications is not a bigger pool, it is more sorting for the same hires. Add two or three screening questions that a real candidate for this role can answer and a bulk applicant cannot, and reject on those first. You cut review hours without cutting good people.
Operations

Employers are leaving roles open rather than risk the wrong hire↗

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on October 2 that US payrolls grew by just 29,000 jobs in September and unemployment rose to 4.2%. July and August were revised down, and one staffing executive said firms would rather leave a role open than hire wrong.

29,000
jobs added in September, with 4.2% unemployment
Why this mattersAn open role is not free, it is the output you already planned for. If a role has been open more than eight weeks, decide this week whether to widen the requirements, split the job in two, or close it and move the budget.
SourceHR Dive
Operations

Benefits teams are seeing hardship withdrawals from managers earning 70k↗

HR Brew reported on October 2 that a benefits director at Ross Stores is seeing more 401(k) hardship withdrawals, including from middle managers earning about 70,000 dollars. A benefits leader at Albertsons said health costs are set to rise 9% next year.

9%
health cost rise employers expect next year
Why this mattersA 9% health cost rise plus staff pulling from retirement savings is a pay problem wearing a benefits costume. Before you renew, price the increase per employee and compare it against a raise of the same money. Say which one you chose and why.
SourceHR Brew
S2

Science & technology

Top 3

Research and technology that is making money, saving money, or about to change how work gets done.

Science

A light-powered crystal split water into hydrogen with no costly metal added↗

Kyriakos Stylianou's team at Oregon State University built a porous crystal that splits water into hydrogen when light hits it, with no expensive metal catalyst needed. It forms on its own in water at room temperature, and clean hydrogen costs about five dollars a kilogram today against a dollar fifty for the dirty kind.

$5/kg
today's cost of clean hydrogen, versus $1.50
Why this mattersThe savings came from removing the expensive ingredient, not from using less of it. Look at your most expensive HR step the same way and ask what it is actually paying for. If a tool exists to move data between two systems, the cheaper answer is connecting them.
Science

Cutting most of the trees out left the rest bigger and the carbon unchanged↗

Kaitlyn Hammond and colleagues at the University of Melbourne tracked an Australian mountain ash forest experiment that began in 1987. Where 50 to 70% of the trees were removed, the ones left behind grew 20% thicker over 30 years, and the thinned patches held as much carbon in their wood as the untouched ones.

20%
thicker trees where most were cut away
Why this mattersRemoving more than half the stems grew better trees and cost nothing in carbon. Teams work the same way when you take work off them. Pick one team, cut a third of its recurring meetings and reports for a month, and measure what their main output does.
Science

A student class project became an approved medical device nine years later↗

Daniel Carballo, Allison Davanzo and Kyle Pina built a tremor-reducing wristband in an MIT product design class in 2017 and incorporated their company, Encora Therapeutics, in 2020. The band won US regulatory clearance in February 2026, after a home trial where 78% of 59 patients reported a benefit at 90 days.

78%
of 59 patients reported a benefit at 90 days
Why this mattersNine years from classroom prototype to cleared device, with a trial at each step rather than one big bet. Copy the cadence, not the timeline. Run your next process change on one team for 90 days, write down what you will measure, then decide.
SourceMIT News
S3

Learning to learn

Top 1

One finding on how people actually acquire skills, applied to onboarding and training.

Learning

Experience changes what people see, and AI vision models do not have that↗

Kohitij Kar's lab at York University, with first author Elizaveta Yakubovskaya, compared primate brain recordings against AI vision models on a motion illusion. The brain shifted where it placed an object after watching movement, and the AI models did not.

1 gap
AI matched location but not learned perception
Why this mattersThe models read the picture, people read the picture plus everything they have seen before. That is what a new hire lacks and an experienced reviewer has. Keep a person who has done the job on the final read of anything AI drafts for you.
S4

Three things to do this week

3 actions

Three moves with the best payoff for the least effort, each with what it is roughly worth. Even one of them saves hours of work, cash, or a risk you would rather not carry.

1
Speed
Add two knockout questions to your highest-volume job post
Pick the role that draws the most applications. Add two or three short questions only a real candidate for that role could answer, make them required, and sort on those answers first. About one hour.
PayoffApplications per opening have doubled since 2022, so review hours grow while the hire count does not. Screening 200 applications instead of 400 saves a hiring manager roughly 10 to 15 hours per role, and a faster first pass keeps good candidates from going elsewhere.
15 hrs
of screening time saved on one open role
Effort 1 hour
2
Cash
Price your health plan increase against a raise of the same money
Get the renewal quote and divide the increase by headcount for a per-employee number. Put that next to what the same money would buy as a pay increase, then pick one and tell people which. About two hours.
PayoffEmployers expect health costs up about 9% next year, and benefits teams already see retirement hardship withdrawals from managers earning around 70,000 dollars. On a 50-person team a 9% increase commonly runs 40,000 to 60,000 dollars a year, which is real money either way.
$40k+
a year of benefits spend made into a choice
Effort 2 hours
3
Risk
Put an experienced reviewer on the last read of anything AI screens
List where AI already screens or drafts for you, such as resume ranking or job descriptions. For each, name one person who has done that job and have them sign the final version. About 90 minutes.
PayoffAI vision models matched where an object was but missed how experience reshapes what people see, and screening tools carry the same blind spot. One wrongly rejected candidate pool costs weeks of hiring time, and defending a hiring discrimination charge commonly runs tens of thousands in legal fees.
$25k+
legal defense cost on one hiring claim
Effort 90 minutes

Want this handled, but no time or capacity?Olga takes on HR ops projects like these on a fractional or interim basis. A 30-minute call is enough to scope one.

Reach out to Olga ↗

Payoff figures are order-of-magnitude estimates for a company under 500 people, based on typical costs, not quotes for your business.

SourcesHR Tech Feed: Applications per job opening doubled, and employers still cannot find the skills·HR Dive: Employers are leaving roles open rather than risk the wrong hire·HR Brew: Benefits teams are seeing hardship withdrawals from managers earning 70k·ScienceDaily: A light-powered crystal split water into hydrogen with no costly metal added·ScienceDaily: Cutting most of the trees out left the rest bigger and the carbon unchanged·MIT News: A student class project became an approved medical device nine years later·York University: Experience changes what people see, and AI vision models do not have that
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About this brief. Ops Signal is compiled every weekday with AI from the linked sources and curated by Olga Dobrozhan, a fractional HR Ops consultant in Montreal who helps teams under 500 people choose, set up and run their HR systems and processes. Payoff figures are order-of-magnitude estimates for a typical company of that size, not quotes.
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